A number that gets marked.
The Formbook Score forecasts each player’s points over the next five gameweeks, shows you every part it is built from, and then gets scored in public against what actually happened. When it is wrong, that stays on the page.
This separate five-gameweek model is a research aid. Use your team planner for personalised transfer advice, including budget and hits. Its forecast window and method differ.
Across 717 confident start calls, the score has been right 90.9% of the time.
Points error compares an approximate share of the multiweek forecast with actual points for players who featured. It is not a dedicated one-gameweek projection.
Inspect every saved forecast →Gameweeks 9 to 13
669 players scored · updated twice dailyFive parts, all of them visible.
Nothing here is proprietary and nothing is hidden. Every input comes from the Fantasy Premier League API, which needs no key and no account.
Minutes, first and loudest
A player who does not start scores nothing, so this gates everything else. It comes from how often he has started, adjusted for how long he stays on: finishing games counts for more than being taken off at sixty.
Output, pulled toward the average
Three games is not a sample. His expected goals and assists per ninety are blended with the average for his position, and the fewer minutes he has played the more the average wins. Early season this makes the score duller than the ones that quote you three decimal places. That is deliberate.
Fixtures, but gently
The official difficulty rating over the next five gameweeks, worth at most about a quarter either way. Fixture difficulty is real, and it is also the thing most managers overrate.
Role
Being first-choice on penalties is worth more than most statistics on any site. It is a published field and it is in the score.
Clean sheets and defensive work
For defenders and keepers, expected goals conceded turned into a clean-sheet probability, plus how often the defensive contribution threshold is actually reached rather than a flat bonus for the season average.
Where it will be wrong.
- A short record is not proof of long-term accuracy. Check the sample sizes and individual results.
- It does not know what a manager said this morning. Press-conference news reaches the availability flag before it reaches this number.
- It cannot see rotation for a cup tie, a new signing settling in, or a fallout at a training ground.
- The range is wide on purpose. A single-number forecast that is confident about a footballer is lying to you.
This site is free because a separate, optional section carries match odds and betting partners. It is not part of the tool and it changes nothing on your card.
Match odds · 18+The score, and the mark.
The forecasts and their record are available here. Get on the list for reviewed team news that affects your squad.
Use your public FPL team ID to request squad alerts.